Disease Projection Report 2023 to 2053
Produced by the
Public Health (Strategic Policy, Planning and Performance)
Authored by
Public Health Intelligence
and published on
08 Feb 2024
Prepared internally, no external cost
Summary
This report describes the potential level of occurrence of disease in Jersey over the coming decades, based on the current prevalence of disease combined with the projected future population, under different migraton scenarios.
The report also includes projections for the
number of people living with multimorbidity (more than one long-term
condition), activity-limiting disability, the number of General Practice (GP)
consultations and hospital bed days.
The results of this analysis are not forecasts, but demonstrate
what may potentially happen if the current disease prevalence continues, while
the population ages and changes.