25 September 2024
Statistics Jersey have today released population and migration statistics including:
a provisional estimate of the resident Jersey population at the end of 2023
a revision of the estimate of the resident Jersey population at the end of 2022
new experimental statistics breaking population and migration statistics down by eligibility for Control of Housing and Work Law status (Registered, Licensed, Entitled for Work, Entitled)1
new experimental statistics breaking population and migration statistics down by self-declared nationality1
Summary
The resident population at the end of 2023 is provisionally estimated to be 103,650, an increase of 350 people from the end of 2022.
There were more deaths than births in 2023 for the second year in a row, resulting in a negative natural change of -110. More people inwardly migrated than outwardly migrated during 2023 leading to net migration of +470 people.
In the five-year period 2018 to 2023:
the number of over 64-year-olds grew by 12%
the number of under 16-year-olds fell by 5%
the number of working age people (16 to 64 years old) was relatively stable (fell by 1%)
Although relatively stable in size, this report shows that the working age population would have fallen every year since 2012 by an average of 230 people each year without migration.
The report provides detailed experimental statistics by eligibility for Control of Housing and Work Law statuses.1 Over the five-year period 2018 to 2023:
the number of people with Registered status decreased by 15%
the number of people with Licensed status increased by 38%
the number of people with Entitled for work status decreased by 4%
the number of people with Entitled status increased by 2%
The self-reported nationalities of the resident population are also presented as experimental statistics in the report.1 Over the five-year period from 2018 to 2023:
the number of people with a European nationality decreased by 7% from 16,740 to 15,610
the number of people with a rest of world nationality (excluding Jersey, British, and European) increased by 150% from 1,720 to 4,300 people
Statistics Jersey have produced these population and migration statistics using administrative data (data that is already held by government for running public services). See report for detailed data sources and methods, linked below.
Population and migration statistics 2023
1Experimental statistics are considered to be in the testing phase. The statistics potentially have a wider degree of uncertainty and should be interpreted with care. Publishing experimental statistics gives an opportunity to involve potential users and stakeholders in assessing their quality and suitability, while still providing useful information for users. You can read more in theguidance and interpretation of experimental statistics policy linked below.
guidance and interpretation of experimental statistics policy
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